Super Bowl 54 is fast approaching, and that means we need to help you win some money on the prop bets that are popping up everywhere.
We combed through the props we’ve seen (all of them via BetMGM unless otherwise noted) and found the best ones to put your money on.
Super Bowl 54 Game & Prop Betting Sheets. Ivan Ivanovich Kansas City Chiefs, NFL, Prop Betting Guide, San Francisco 49ers, SB54. Super Bowl 54 Odds & Prop Betting PDF.
Darwin Thompson over 4.5 Yards: Now this is what you call a Super Bowl Prop bet! He played all of 1 snap vs. The Titans, but against the 49ers, you’d have to think more rushing attempts will be in the cards to keep those aggressive pass rushers honest. In classic degenerate fashion we spent the entire week picking our best prop bets for Super Bowl 54. Things got out of hand and we ended up coming up with 54 prop bets! Novelty prop bets we discussed on our Super Bowl Novelty Prop Bets podcast Chiefs prop bets we discussed on our Super Bowl.
As a reminder: some of them might seem a little strange to you (“Wait, you’re telling us to bet on something that’s BARELY happened in Super Bowl history? Are you nuts?!”), but this is an exercise in finding value, which can be tough when betting on an event like this one.
Away we go:
1. Which player will score a touchdown in the game? (Patrick Mahomes +370)
I like the odds and I like what I saw out of Mahomes running a lot in his past three games (seven rushing attempts or more). You have to imagine he’s going to scramble a bunch against Nick Bosa and the 49ers pass rush, so I’ll put a few bucks on Mahomes entering the end zone at some point. — Charles Curtis
2. How many passing yards will Jimmy Garoppolo record? (Over 300.5 +330)
The game script that seems the most likely in my head is a close contest in which the Niners continuing to run the ball like crazy. But this is your hedge against Mahomes turning this into a shootout and forcing Jimmy G. to toss the rock more than eight times (!) like he did two weeks ago. This also isn’t THAT crazy — he went over 300 yards three times this year. — CC
3. Super Bowl MVP (Travis Kelce +1400)
Let’s get nuts! Do you know how many tight ends have won Super Bowl MVP? NONE! So why not go for the longshot who has the possibility of scoring three touchdowns (I know, if that happens, it’s Mahomes’ award, but what’s the fun in betting on a quarterback?) — CC
4. Super Bowl MVP (Raheem Mostert (+750)
Okay, fine. This is probably the more prudent bet. If he has another big game in him and the Niners’ D clamps down on the Chiefs, he could be in line for the award. And what a story that would be for the former undrafted free agent. — CC
5. Winning margin (49ers by 1-6 +325; Chiefs by 1-6 +310)
I think it’s going to be a tight game either way, so these feel like easy bets to throws some cash on. — CC
6. Will an offensive lineman score a touchdown? (DraftKings; Yes +3300)
The odds are SO GOOD and I can just see one of these creative offensive teams going for it. — CC
7. How many receiving yards will Deebo Samuel have? (Over 56.5 +100)
This is a no-brainer for me. Samuel has been more involved with the offense late in the season, and Kyle Shanahan finds ways to manufacture touches for him. He could hit this mark by halftime. — Steven Ruiz
8. How many receptions will Damien Williams record? (Over 3.5 +100)
Another easy pick for me. The 49ers’ defensive scheme is designed to give up throws underneath, so I expect Mahomes to throw at least a few checkdowns to his running back. Throw in a screen pass or two, and Williams should get more than three receptions. — SR
9. Will Jimmy Garoppolo throw an interception? (Yes -135)
Garoppolo threw 13 picks during the regular season and defenders dropped another eight. He puts the ball in dangerous spots a lot, and the Chiefs have capitalized on opposing quarterbacks’ mistakes this season. — SR
10. What will be the result of the 1st drive of the game? (Any outcome other than a TD, FG or Safety +105)
Super Bowls always seem to get off to cagey starts. I think that happens here, especially if the 49ers start out with the ball. One stuffed run and I think Kansas City’s defense gets off the field. Worst case scenario is Patrick Mahomes getting the ball first, but at least you have the league’s best defense to depend on. — SR
11. First scoring play (Chiefs TD +150)
Hedge the last bet with this one just in case Mahomes does hit the field first. Either way, I think this is a smart bet. — SR
Best Prop Bets For Super Bowl 54
For everything Super Bowl 53 lacked in excitement, Super Bowl 54 should be able to make up for it.
The 49ers and Chiefs cruised through their two playoff games and will square off against each other Sunday at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. While the game should bring some offensive fireworks, it should also bust the door wide open for some NFL prop bets.
Sports wagering site Bet MGM has a slew of bets outside the traditional money lines and point spreads, and we dove into some of our favorites.
Yes (+900)
This is great value! Consider all the ways a lineman could score a touchdown. An offensive lineman could line up as an eligible receiver. A defensive lineman could haul in a pick-6, or recover a fumble for a touchdown.
Prop Bets Super Bowl 54 Results
The offensive lineman one seems feasible in a game featuring two of the most creative offensive staffs in the NFL. It’s worth noting for the 49ers that the last first-round pick to catch a pass for them was left tackle Joe Staley last season.
On the defensive side, there are so many electric players on each of these defensive lines that a game-changing play like a strip sack or an interception on a screen is entirely reasonable. Both teams also run 4-3 defenses, which means maximum linemen on the field at all times. This would be well worth the +900 odds (bet $100 to win $900) just to have a fun, unorthodox thing to root for.
Run (-162)
Pass (+125)
More great odds here. The nature of the two offenses dictates that any plus odds on a pass to start the game are probably worth snagging.
The Chiefs throw it A LOT. They threw it over 60 percent of the time in the regular season. Chances are they’ll throw it on first down against the 49ers because they don’t want to start the game with a run, not their strong suit, and get behind the sticks early.
Now, there might naturally be some worry about the 49ers coming out throwing since they attempted only 27 passes in their two playoff games, but head coach Kyle Shanahan is all about attacking weaknesses. The Chiefs are likely going to sell out to stop the run game that gashed the Vikings and Packers in the playoffs, and if they leave themselves susceptible to the pass, Shanahan will take advantage.
The +125 odds on a pass in a game where there’s liable to be a ton of passing feels like the right move.
Over 12.5 (-112)
Under 12.5 (-112)
The over here feels like a lock. Juszczyk, the 49ers’ do-everything fullback, is a matchup nightmare for a team that doesn’t have a ton of athleticism in the second level.
Given how little the 49ers threw in their last two games, a play where Juszczyk lines up in an ‘I’ formation then leaks out on a play action pass where he gets either forgotten about or matched up on a linebacker seems like it’s already in the opening game script. That’s an easy 15 yards for the 49ers and an easy cash-in for the over.
Some people may shy away from Juszcyzk over 12.5 since he’s averaging fewer than 20 yards and two catches per game, but it’s pretty rare that he’s unproductive when he is involved. In the eight games that he caught passes this year, Juszczyk only failed to eclipse 12 yards twice. He had one catch for 23 yards in Week 16, and one catch for 49 yards in Week 17. Juszczyk doesn’t have a target yet in the postseason, which means he’s due, and when he gets targets, he produces.
Over 400.5 (+600)
Under 400.5 (-1000)
This one is for people with no real rooting interest that just want to root for points. There’s a very realistic scenario where the 49ers and Chiefs get into a shootout and both run up north of 40 points. If Kansas City is doing that, that very likely means a big day for Mahomes. He’s already liable to drop back 45-plus times and sling the ball over the yard, even against a great defense.
Putting some cash on the +600 allows the bettor to just cheer for maximum offense and chaos. It’s worth noting Mahomes has gone over 400 yards just three times in his career, but twice this season. On the other hand, the 49ers had a historically great pass defense until the injury bug set in. That unit is healthier now and does a great job limiting big plays.
However, if someone wants a reason to cheer for a huge day from Mahomes, this is a way to do so at pretty good value.